// ~->[DNET-1]->~ // File created by Norsys using Netica 1.06 on Mar 29, 1998 at 04:52:10. bnet Boerlage92 { comment = "From Boerlage, Brent (1994) Link Strength in Bayesian \ Networks, Tech. Report 94-17, Dept. Computer Science, Univ. \ of British Columbia, BC.\n\ It is also in the Boerlage92 UBC MSc thesis."; whenchanged = 886771325; visual V1 { defdispform = LABELBOX; nodelabeling = NAMETITLE; nodefont = font {shape= "Arial"; size= 10;}; linkfont = font {shape= "Arial"; size= 9;}; commentfont = font {shape= "Arial"; size= 10;}; windowposn = (3, 3, 637, 457); resolution = 72; drawingbounds = (1104, 730); showpagebreaks = FALSE; usegrid = TRUE; gridspace = (6, 6); }; define node tf { kind = NATURE; discrete = TRUE; chance = CHANCE; states = (True, False); }; node CV (tf) { parents = (); probs = // True False (0.01, 0.99); title = "Tom's\ncousin is\nvisiting him"; visual V1 { center = (72, 72); height = 23; }; }; node HT (tf) { parents = (); probs = // True False (0.7, 0.3); title = "Lots of\ntraffic on 5th\nstreet last year"; visual V1 { center = (534, 48); height = 19; }; }; node SW (tf) { parents = (HT); probs = // True False // HT ((0.7, 0.3), // True (0.6, 0.4)); // False ; title = "Tom's\nhardware store\ndid well last year"; visual V1 { center = (408, 48); height = 18; }; }; node TW (tf) { parents = (SW); probs = // True False // SW ((0.7, 0.3), // True (0.3, 0.7)); // False ; title = "Tom is\ncurrently\nfairly wealthy"; visual V1 { center = (282, 48); height = 21; }; }; node TC (tf) { parents = (TW); probs = // True False // TW ((0.3, 0.7), // True (0.1, 0.9)); // False ; title = "Tom just\nbought a new\nBMW car"; visual V1 { center = (186, 114); height = 20; }; }; node CD (tf) { parents = (CV, TC); probs = // True False // CV TC (((0.95, 0.05), // True True (0.9, 0.1)), // True False ((0.9, 0.1), // False True (0.05, 0.95))); // False False ; title = "A new BMW\nis parked in Tom's\ndriveway"; visual V1 { center = (72, 174); height = 22; }; }; node TR (tf) { parents = (TW); probs = // True False // TW ((0.1, 0.9), // True (0.05, 0.95)); // False ; title = "Tom told Molly\nhe is rich"; visual V1 { center = (384, 132); height = 17; }; }; node TF (tf) { parents = (TR, TW); probs = // True False // TR TW (((0.6, 0.4), // True True (0.15, 0.85)), // True False ((0.2, 0.8), // False True (0.05, 0.95))); // False False ; title = "Tom told Molly\nhe will donate\ncampaign funds"; visual V1 { center = (312, 204); height = 14; }; }; node TD (tf) { parents = (TF, TW); probs = // True False // TF TW (((0.8, 0.2), // True True (0.5, 0.5)), // True False ((0.1, 0.9), // False True (0.02, 0.98))); // False False ; title = "Tom makes big\ndonation to Molly's\ncampaign"; visual V1 { center = (246, 318); height = 12; link 2 { path = ((275, 74), (246, 168), (246, 293)); }; }; }; node TA (tf) { parents = (TC, TD, TW); probs = // True False // TC TD TW ((((0.8, 0.2), // True True True (0.3, 0.7)), // True True False ((0.802, 0.198), // True False True (0.302, 0.698))), // True False False (((0.81, 0.19), // False True True (0.31, 0.69)), // False True False ((0.812, 0.188), // False False True (0.312, 0.688)))); // False False False ; title = "Tom can afford to\n\ move to an expensive\n\ neighborhood next year"; visual V1 { center = (84, 318); height = 13; link 3 { path = ((268, 74), (228, 144), (104, 293)); }; }; }; node TM (tf) { parents = (TA); probs = // True False // TA ((0.3, 0.7), // True (0.05, 0.95)); // False ; title = "Tom moves\nnext door to Hank\nnext year"; visual V1 { center = (84, 480); height = 7; }; }; node CP (tf) { parents = (HT, SW); probs = // True False // HT SW (((0.8, 0.2), // True True (0.7, 0.3)), // True False ((0.7, 0.3), // False True (0.2, 0.8))); // False False ; title = "Lots of cars are\nusually parked in\nfront of Tom's store"; visual V1 { center = (516, 132); height = 16; }; }; node GT (tf) { parents = (CP); probs = // True False // CP ((0.1, 0.9), // True (0.002, 0.998)); // False ; title = "Gale told Molly\n\ that lots of cars are\n\ usually parked in\n\ front of Tom's store"; visual V1 { center = (516, 222); height = 15; }; }; node MR (tf) { parents = (TR, GT); probs = // True False // TR GT (((0.71, 0.29), // True True (0.7, 0.3)), // True False ((0.31, 0.69), // False True (0.3, 0.7))); // False False ; title = "Molly thinks\nTom is rich"; visual V1 { center = (516, 318); height = 10; link 1 { path = ((387, 150), (402, 234), (493, 301)); }; }; }; node MT (tf) { parents = (MR, TF); probs = // True False // MR TF (((0.8, 0.2), // True True (0.1, 0.9)), // True False ((0.5, 0.5), // False True (0.02, 0.98))); // False False ; title = "Molly thinks Tom\nis going to make big\ncampaign donation"; visual V1 { center = (378, 318); height = 11; }; }; node MD (tf) { parents = (MT); probs = // True False // MT ((0.7, 0.3), // True (0.5, 0.5)); // False ; title = "Molly decides\nto run for mayor"; visual V1 { center = (378, 396); height = 5; }; }; node MM (tf) { parents = (MD, TD); probs = // True False // MD TD (((0.5, 0.5), // True True (0.3, 0.7)), // True False ((1e-7, 1), // False True (1e-7, 1))); // False False ; title = "Molly gets\nelected mayor"; visual V1 { center = (246, 396); height = 1; }; }; node PA (tf) { parents = (MM); probs = // True False // MM ((0.7, 0.3), // True (0.4, 0.6)); // False ; title = "Neighborhood\npark is approved"; visual V1 { center = (246, 468); height = 2; }; }; node PC (tf) { parents = (PA); probs = // True False // PA ((0.9, 0.1), // True (1e-5, 0.99999)); // False ; title = "Neighborhood\npark is constructed\nnext year"; visual V1 { center = (246, 540); height = 3; }; }; node FW (tf) { parents = (HT, MM, PC); probs = // True False // HT MM PC ((((0.52, 0.48), // True True True (0.5, 0.5)), // True True False ((0.42, 0.58), // True False True (0.4, 0.6))), // True False False (((0.15, 0.85), // False True True (0.15, 0.85)), // False True False ((0.12, 0.88), // False False True (0.1, 0.9)))); // False False False ; title = "5th street\nis widened next\nyear"; visual V1 { center = (408, 468); height = 9; link 1 { path = ((559, 74), (588, 102), (588, 402), (459, 450)); }; }; }; node DT (tf) { parents = (FW); probs = // True False // FW ((0.8, 0.2), // True (0.2, 0.8)); // False ; title = "Traffic more than\ndoubles on Hank's\nstreet next year"; visual V1 { center = (444, 570); height = 4; }; }; node VU (tf) { parents = (DT, PC); probs = // True False // DT PC (((0.8, 0.2), // True True (0.5, 0.5)), // True False ((0.82, 0.18), // False True (0.51, 0.49))); // False False ; title = "Hank's property\nvalue goes up more\nthan 20% in two years"; visual V1 { center = (276, 612); height = 8; }; }; node HM (tf) { parents = (VU, TM, PC, DT); probs = // True False // VU TM PC DT (((((0.12, 0.88), // True True True True (0.1, 0.9)), // True True True False ((0.31, 0.69), // True True False True (0.3, 0.7))), // True True False False (((0.13, 0.87), // True False True True (0.11, 0.89)), // True False True False ((0.33, 0.67), // True False False True (0.31, 0.69)))), // True False False False ((((0.11, 0.89), // False True True True (0.09, 0.91)), // False True True False ((0.31, 0.69), // False True False True (0.29, 0.71))), // False True False False (((0.12, 0.88), // False False True True (0.1, 0.9)), // False False True False ((0.32, 0.68), // False False False True (0.3, 0.7))))); // False False False False ; title = "Hank moves\naway sometime in\nthe next 5 years"; visual V1 { center = (84, 642); height = 6; link 4 { path = ((441, 592), (432, 642), (143, 642)); }; }; }; };